Big Brown not odds-on favorite for Saturday

Horseracing Betting Lines

09/12/2008 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The morning-line odds have been released for Saturday's $500,000 Monmouth Stakes at Monmouth Park. Kentucky Derby and Preakness champ Big Brown is the 2-1 favorite in the 11 horse field, a significant difference from the 1-2 the colt was for the Haskell Invitational.

Big Brown will be taking on older thoroughbreds for the first time in the turf race at 1 1/8 miles. If all 11 go, Big Brown will face a wide variety of grass runners with whom he will have to deal.

The 7-2 second choice is Shakis, a two-time winner of the Bernard Baruch Handicap at Saratoga. The eight-year-old is a veteran of 32 races with seven victories for $685,532. Since May of 2007 he has hit the board six times in nine starts. Trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, Shakis will break from post three, immediately to the inside of Big Brown. Local rider Joe Bravo will add his knowledge of the Monmouth turf course to Shakis' effort.

Lightly raced Proudinsky is the 4-1 third pick in the program. The five-year- old is coming off a sixth-place finish to Shakis as the 5-2 favorite in the Bernard Baruch. Leaving from post six, Ramon Dominguez will have the reins for owner Gary Tanaka and trainer Bobby Frankel. Proudinsky has just 12 career starts with four wins and $557, 807. This year he won the Mervin Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap at the Fair Grounds, but was 11th in the Manhattan Handicap.

A horse that is cross-entered in the $250,000 PTHA President's Cup at Philly Park is Silver Tree. The eight-year-old is 6-1 for the Monmouth Stakes, but the 8-5 morning-line favorite for the Philly race, which is also 1 1/8 miles on the turf. If Silver Tree remains in the Monmouth, he will be running on familiar ground, having won the Oceanport Stakes at the Jersey Shore track. Trained by Bill Mott for Peter Vegso, Silver Tree has won 14 of 40 career starts with 10 seconds and four times as show. His lifetime earnings of better than $1.7 million is the second highest in the field to Big Brown's $3.3 million,

Several of the 11 entrants will be on or near the lead in the Monmouth Stakes. Possible pace-setters are Proudinsky, Hotstufanthensome, Kiss the Kid, Get Serious and Fagedaboudit Sal.

Big Brown will be using Saturday's race as his final prep before the $5 million Breeders' Cup Classic at Santa Anita on October 25. Trainer Rick Dutrow, Jr., with the ownership group, have decided that a turf race will best prepare the colt for Santa Anita's synthetic main track.

I doubt that Big Brown will go off at 2-1 when the gates open. He will likely be bet down to even-money or less. However, if all 11 start Shakis and Silver Tree will have to be included in the exotics, with Shakis singled for win. .

Vagesinsider Horseracing Betting News


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SPORTS BETTING

NFL Football Betting Online

In terms of sports wagering, the NFL is "the most popular game in town." The explanation behind that is easy.

It is called the "pointspread."

Many years ago, NFL games, as well as the more popular college games, used straight odds as a vehicle for betting. For example, if the Bears were playing the Giants, and it shaped up as a competitive contest, the Bears might be, say, a 7/5 favorite. If they were playing an also-ran, it might be 10/1. Well, there is a point where a line becomes prohibitive, as far as betting the favorite. And who would waste money betting an underdog that has virtually no chance? Such a setup did not contribute to promoting betting action.

But in modern sports betting, a "pointspread" is used.

A NFL pointspreads are exactly that, a pre-established point difference between the two sides that will, for all intents and purposes, create a handicap that evens things out, and in doing so, produces comparable wagering activity on both sides of that proposition. So in lieu of a odds figure in which to bet the team to win outright, the Bears might be a three-point favorite over the New York Giants, and a 17-point favorite over the also-ran. Now that the team that is the underdog can "get" points, there can be equal action on both sides.

In sportsbooks, this is usually done with efficiency by charging the losing bettors 10% extra - in effect, bettors are laying 11/10 on those games. So they are actually betting $110 to win $100. If they lose, they pay the "vig." If they win, they simply collect.

The establishment of the pointspread as the corner stone around which team sports like football can be wagered upon was truly what brought gridiron betting into the stratosphere.

Don't believe it? Just take a look at what happens around the Super Bowl.

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MySportsbook.com refunds all bets on Oakland, Green Bay and Tampa Bay from NFL week one.

(September 14) – Week one of NFL action saw three teams go scoreless for the first time since 1977.  Another four were unable to get a touchdown and almost half of the underdogs covered the spread. Those three teams saved bettors at MySportsbook.com from losing out completely, thanks to the company’s unique NFL Shutout Rule -- which ensures that if the team you backed goes scoreless, your wager is refunded.

Sportsbook refunded tens of thousands of dollars to customers who bet on Oakland, Green Bay and Tampa Bay, the three teams that stunk up the field so badly that their fans and backers never had a chance to get up from their couches and cheer.  In the spirit of the low scoring start to the season, odds makers at the world’s largest online sportsbook and casino have set odds on how many total shutouts there will be this season. 

MySportsbook.com has posted updated sports betting lines for week two of the season.  Ben Roethlisberger’s health status is still questionable, so Willie Parker will try to lead Pittsburgh again as they travel to Jacksonville as a one point favorite.  After beating up on his little brother last week, Peyton Manning will look to lead the Colts to victory against Houston. Indianapolis is a whopping 13.5 favorite in the match-up.

Seattle, last year’s highest scoring team, showed the power of their defense with their gritty 9-6 win in Motown over the ravenous Lions.  They take their act back home to the comforts of Qwest Field where they will face the resurgent Arizona Cardinals.  The Seahawks are favored by a touchdown. 

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