11/21/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When Jamal Lewis speaks, people listen. The Cleveland Browns veteran running back called out some of his teammates for giving up after a home loss to Denver a few weeks ago and the team responded with a big win at Buffalo in Week 11.
Lewis will try to fire up his teammates again this Sunday afternoon at Cleveland Browns Stadium, where the club hosts the Houston Texans.
The lights were shining bright in prime time last Monday night at Buffalo's Ralph Wilson Stadium, and the Browns didn't let the hostile scene affect their game during a 29-27 victory in Orchard Park.
Cleveland ended a two-game losing streak with the win and improved to 4-6 to stay afloat in the AFC postseason race. Second-year quarterback Brady Quinn earned his first win in the league since taking over for deposed starter Derek Anderson, who led Cleveland to a 10-6 mark in 2007 and earned his first Pro Bowl bid that same year.
The muscle-bound Quinn, who will play despite a broken right index finger, seems to have a grasp of the offense but didn't have to do much to get the Browns back in the win column on Monday. The second-year pro went 14-of-36 for 185 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions. In his previous start, Quinn was 23-of-35 passing for 239 yards and threw two touchdowns against the Broncos.
He may be without tight end Kellen Winslow, who is questionable for Sunday's game with a shoulder injury.
Houston has lost three in a row after a three-game winning streak, and fell to 3-7 on the season after last Sunday's hard-fought 33-27 loss to the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Chances of reaching the playoffs for the first time in franchise history were most likely dashed for the Texans, who have allowed no less than 28 points in each of the past three losses.
Backup quarterback Sage Rosenfels hasn't been able to erase the loss of injured starter Matt Schaub since taking over the offense. Schaub went down on November 2 at Minnesota and has missed two starts. Head coach Gary Kubiak hopes he can return in a few weeks, since Schaub is now able to bend his knee and move around with more ease.
Rookie running back Steve Slaton has been a big surprise for the Texans and totaled a team rookie-record 156 rushing yards on 14 carries against the Colts, including a franchise-long 71-yard touchdown run. Slaton will try to keep the Houston locker room positive against the Browns' meager run defense.
SERIES HISTORY
The Browns lead the all-time series with the Texans 3-2, breaking a deadlock in the series with a 27-17 home victory when the teams met in Week 12 of last season. The Texans won the previous meeting, a 14-6 affair in Houston in 2006. The Texans are 0-2 in Cleveland all-time.
Browns head coach Romeo Crennel is 1-2 in his career against the Texans, while Kubiak is 1-1 against both Crennel and Cleveland as a head coach.
WHEN THE TEXANS HAVE THE BALL
Rosenfels (956 passing yards, 4 TD, 7 INT) has thrown for 956 yards and four touchdowns on 78-of-118 passing in relief of Schaub. He has struggled in his last three performances, throwing for just three touchdowns and six interceptions. Rosenfels has proven himself to be a capable leader in the NFL, but hasn't been doing much to maintain that status for the Texans, whose offense ranks second in the AFC and fifth in the NFL at 370.1 yards per game. Houston has had the third-most prolific offense in the NFL over the last eight weeks, thanks mainly to wide receiver Andre Johnson (71 receptions, 3 TD), who leads the NFL with 955 receiving yards and extended his own team record by catching a pass in his 44th consecutive game last week. He hasn't had more than 55 yards receiving in each of the last three games, however, after posting four straight contests with no less than 131 yards. Wideout Kevin Walter (40 receptions, 6 TD) leads the Texans with six touchdown catches. He has started 25 games in the last two years and has hauled in 105 passes for 1,374 yards and 10 touchdowns over that span.
Defensive end Corey Williams (27 tackles, 0.5 sacks), who finished with four tackles against the Bills, is the biggest pass-rushing threat on the Cleveland front line that may not have fellow end Shaun Smith (17 tackles) for this weekend. Smith suffered a calf injury on Monday and did not participate in practice early this week. With no push up front, Cleveland's 19th-rated pass defense will face a true test against Houston's surprising aerial attack. Cornerbacks Eric Wright (42 tackles, 3 INT) and Brandon McDonald (43 tackles, 2 INT) were able to shut down Buffalo's passing game and Cleveland posted three interceptions in the win. McDonald came away with one of those picks. Safeties Sean Jones (33 tackles) and Brodney Pool (36 tackles, sack, 2 INT) will help the corners against both Johnson and Walter.
Houston knew the Colts had trouble defending the run, so it unleashed the rookie Slaton to great results. The Texans ran for 177 yards against Indianapolis and threw the ball only 18 times. Slaton (701 rushing yards, 6 TD) took advantage with his second-career 100-yard game. A home-run threat every time he touches the ball, Slaton ranks third among rookies with 89.9 total yards from scrimmage per game and is tied for the rookie lead with seven touchdowns scored. He also owns a 5.1 yards per carry average, good enough for fourth in the league for Houston's 15th-rated run offense, and ranks third in the AFC in rushing yards through the first 10 games of the season. Slaton can thank offensive linemen such as guard Chester Pitts for the success. Pitts is the only player to start each of Houston's 106 all-time games, but he injured his calf and is day-to-day. The Texans are averaging 114.3 yards per game on the ground this season, compared to 99.1 yards per game last year.
The Browns had a rough time stopping the run against the Bills and were lucky to escape town with a victory. Buffalo running back Marshawn Lynch had 119 yards on 23 carries, and Slaton will try for the same success against the NFL's 28th-rated run defense on Sunday. Run-stuffing tackle Shaun Rogers (52 tackles, 4.5 sacks) leads the team in sacks and had six tackles with a pass defensed this past weekend. Linebackers Andra Davis (50 tackles, 1 INT) and Kamerion Wimbley (41 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) each had an interception on Monday night, while fellow linebacker D'Qwell Jackson (99 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT) leads the Browns in total tackles. Jackson had 11 stops and a tipped pass against the Bills and also made several stops against the run.
WHEN THE BROWNS HAVE THE BALL
Quinn (424 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT) will make his second career start at home on Sunday and matches up well against Houston's middle-of-the-pack defense. He supplanted Anderson as the starter versus Denver in Week 10, but is either a bad game or a hard hit away from losing the reigns. The athletic Notre Dame product has completed 37 of his 71 pass attempts for 424 yards and two scores this season. He has been meshing well with top receiver Braylon Edwards (35 receptions, 3 TD), who leads the team in receiving yards and is tied for the Browns lead with three scores. He matched his career high of eight receptions and totaled 104 yards against the Bills. It was Edwards' 10th career 100-yard receiving game and second of 2008. He has also caught a pass in 52 consecutive games and has a reception in every one that he has competed in during his four years in the NFL. Winslow (39 receptions, 3 TD) recently underwent an MRI on his ailing shoulder, and Quinn hopes his top tight end will be uniform on Sunday. Winslow, who did not practice Wednesday or Thursday, is averaging 87.5 receiving yards per game over his previous two contests at home.
Houston will try to put the pressure on Quinn, and not many do it better than defensive end Mario Williams (34 tackles, 8 sacks), who owns six sacks in the past seven games and his eight on the season is tops in the AFC. The first overall pick in 2006 ranks third in the NFL with 22 sacks since entering the league. The Texans didn't sack Colts quarterback Peyton Manning last week, and he burned the secondary for 320 yards and a pair of touchdown passes. Houston is 17th against the pass, allowing 210.8 yards per game through the air. Cornerback Dunta Robinson (18 tackles, 1 INT) missed the charter flight to Indianapolis on Saturday and was fined by the team. He didn't begin the game as the nickel back against the Colts, but ended with four stops. Cornerbacks Fred Bennett (34 tackles) and Jacques Reeves (29 tackles, 2 INT) were unable to contain any of Indy's wideouts and will be busy against Edwards -- and possibly Winslow -- all afternoon.
Lewis (658 rushing yards, 4 TD) is a bruising running back and had 65 yards on 18 carries against the Bills. He lit a fire under his teammates a few weeks ago and the team rebounded with a big win on Monday, even though Lewis has yet to reach the century mark in rushing this season. Backup running back Jerome Harrison (207 rushing yards, 1 TD) is faster and more elusive than Lewis, and should see more carries for the remainder of the season. He had 80 yards and a touchdown against the Bills as Cleveland ran for a season-high 161 yards. Harrison beefed up his stats with a 72-yard touchdown run for the Browns, who only 1-4 at home this season after going 7-1 as the host a year ago. Tackle Joe Thomas and guard Eric Steinbach anchor the offensive line and pave the way for both Lewis and Harrison.
Lewis will try to penetrate a Houston run defense that is rated 24th in the league and is yielding 132.5 yards per game on the ground. Colts running back Joseph Addai posted his first 100-yard rushing game in more than a year last week against the Texans because of poor tackling and defensive miscues. The Texans' interior line has been suffering without tackle Amobi Okoye (11 tackles), who has been limited in eight games this season due to an ankle injury. He is questionable against the Browns. Texans star linebacker DeMeco Ryans (73 tackles) is leading the team for the third consecutive season with 73 tackles, including 56 solos. He has led the team in tackles 21 times in 42 career games, and leads the NFL in 10-tackle games over the last three seasons with 18. Ryans ended with 11 stops against the Colts. Rookie linebacker Xavier Adibi (18 tackles) posted a career-high 14 tackles last week. He filled in for injured starter Morlon Greenwood (36 tackles), who is out with a leg injury. Greenwood is listed as questionable against Cleveland, while Adibi will likely get the start against the Browns.
FANTASY FOCUS
Lewis, Edwards, Winslow and Quinn will produce the most fantasy points from the Browns this week. Quinn, though, has been a tough start the past two weeks, but Sunday's matchup with Houston favors the young signal-caller. Edwards and Winslow seem to have to no problem sharing catches and Lewis still has the power and agility to punish opposing defenses. Expect all four to produce decent numbers in most leagues this weekend. Johnson and Slaton have taken the fantasy world by storm each week, while Rosenfels is a good start although he may lose a few points because of turnovers. Rosenfels can light up the scoreboard with the best of them, though, and Johnson should get back to his 100-yard receiving ways. Houston's Walter should only be used in an emergency.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
Now is the perfect time for the Browns to start winning at home, where they are just 1-4 as the host in 2008. With hopes of a playoff berth fading at a rapid pace, the Browns must have a solid outing from the inexperienced Quinn against a defense he matches up well against. The Browns will surely devise the perfect plan for Quinn to succeed in, but he must not stray away from getting contributions by Lewis. The running back sets the tempo on offense with his punishing style of play and can open the defense for Quinn to pick apart. Houston already knows its season is pretty much in jeopardy and will do anything to crash Cleveland's party at home. Johnson and Slaton are not enough to keep the Texans from getting another notch in the loss column on Sunday.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Browns 27, Texans 20
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The NFL preseason is approaching. Time for players, coaches and teams to turn over a new leaf. General managers have hired some new coaches, while coaches have added some offensive and defensive assistants to try and improve things. Here’s a look at some changes to look for in the preseason.
New York Jets: The Jets were one of the surprise teams in the NFL last season, making the playoffs under hard-driving first-year coach Eric Mangini. Mangini rebuilt the offensive line with rookies D'Brickashaw Ferguson (the No. 4 pick in the 2007 Draft) and Ohio State center (the 29th pick in the first round). This season he upgraded the defense with rookie linebacker David Harris (Michigan) while the secondary picked up a much needed top-notch corner in Pitt CB Darrelle Revis (No. 14 overall).
The Jets have added balance to the offense for QB Chad Pennington with RB Thomas Jones, essentially stolen from the Bears. He will upgrade a New York ground game that was 20th in rushing with a weak 3.5 yards per carry. They have their first true feature back since Curtis Martin. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer prefers ball control, like his father Marty. In preseason, behind Pennington you’ll see second-year QB Kellen Clemens and mobile newcomer QB Marques Tuiasosopo.
Jacksonville Jaguars: The heat is on Jack Del Rio in Jacksonville as the Jaguars flopped last season despite a ton of talent. Keep in mind that under Del Rio the Jaguars have been outstanding in preseason with a 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS August mark. Their defense is loaded, it’s the offense that has been stuck in first gear the last few years.
Enter a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter, the former Boise State and Arizona State pass-happy coach. He will try and upgrade a passing game that ranked 24th last season. Del Rio has criticized wide receivers and Matt Jones this summer, both of whom have battled injuries. It will be interesting to watch the “new” Jaguars passing game in preseason.
Arizona Cardinals: Word out of Arizona is that the players like new coach Ken Whisenhunt, who was the Steelers offensive coordinator last year. We think of Arizona as all-passing because their running game has been awful of late because of a poor offensive line. However, keep an eye on the running game in preseason as they’ve made a lot of changes.
The new coach brings in Russ Grimm to coach the offensive line (Grimm did a marvelous job building the Steelers line). They took Penn State OT Levi Jones in the first round and signed two offensive linemen, Mike Gandy and Al Johnson, to provide depth. Reggie Wells was moved from right tackle to left guard and they want more speed out of the offensive line for pulling and traps, a Pittsburgh staple under Bill Cowher.
Atlanta Falcons: While all the attention has been focused on QB Mike Vick’s off-field problems, new coach Bobby Petrino is revamping the Falcons from an all-running team to a more balanced one. Petrino likes the experience of backup QB Joey Harrington and he has veteran backup Chris Redman, who used to play for Petrino at Louisville and knows his offenses better than anyone. Petrino wants Vick to be more of a pocket passer.
The addition of FB Ovie Mughelli is a sign Petrino wants a power rushing attack behind a physical fullback and newcomer WR Joe Horn should upgrade what was a below average wideout corps. Petrino is changing their old zone-blocking scheme to a more traditional in-line blocking scheme and the offensive line is bigger. Rookie DE Jamaal Anderson was grabbed in the first round and the secondary got younger with former Auburn cornerback David Irons, who the Falcons think was a steal as a sixth-round pick.
Cleveland Browns: The 2007 Browns look like a double-edged sword. There was the excitement of the offseason, trading for RB Jamel Lewis, upgrading the offensive line with Wisconsin’s Joe Thomas (the No. 2 pick in the draft) and free agent LG Eric Steinbach, then trading for Notre Dame QB Brady Quinn when he fell to No. 22. GM Phil Savage and head coach Romeo Crennel feel they have a talented, balanced offense with these new pieces, plus TE >Kellen Winslow and WR Braylon Edwards.
However, were these moves made in desperation? And were they foolish ones? The Browns gave up their 2008 first-round pick for Quinn and we all know QBs take time to develop. And even first-round QBs can be busts (Joey Harrington, Akili Smith). We also don’t know if the offensive line is that much improved (31st in rushing in 2007) and they did nothing to improve a defense that was awful against the run (142 yds pg allowed).
The Browns have a new offensive coordinator in Rob Chudzinski. This is a young offense and Quinn looked tentative, indecisive and inaccurate early in camp. Crennel will play Charlie Frye, Quinn and Derek Anderson in preseason. And there is a mixed bag for rookie QBs receiving significant starts: Tim Couch (14), Kerry Collins (13), Ben Roethlisberger (13), Vince Young (13), Joey Harrington (12), Matt Leinart (11) and Kyle Boller (nine). While all the focus will be on the Browns new-look offense, I’m more concerned with the defense.
Carolina Panthers: Coach Jon Fox loves the ground game, but Carolina has made some interesting changes for 2007. Fox fired offensive coordinator Dan Henning and brings in Jeff Davidson to run the offense. Davidson has brought in zone-blocking schemes to the Panther offense, a dramatic change for a system that's been built around a power-running style.
In zone-blocking, offensive linemen are responsible for blocking any defender who appears in their zone, instead of focusing on one defender. The Broncos and Falcons have had success with the system, which features smaller, more athletic offensive linemen and can create running lanes on the inside and outside. Keep an eye in preseason on how Carolina adjusts as it will take time to learn the system. Fox has been one of the top coaches in preseason, with a 15-5 SU, 12-7-1 ATS August record.
Dallas Cowboys: WR Terrell Owens is still here, but QB Drew Bledsoe and Bill Parcells are gone. New head coach Wade Phillips takes over, replacing Parcells. He ran the Chargers defense last season. Phillips was chosen by teary-eyed owner Jerry Jones partly because he is one of the best 3-4 coaches in football and the Cowboys have loaded up on players for that scheme.
Remember that Phillips was blitz-happy with the Chargers last season and early reports out of the Dallas camp have mentioned how the Cowboys have been blitzing a lot, a departure from Parcells. The theme of the 2007 Dallas defense appears to be one of attack.
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MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?
Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite. Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight. With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites. As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).
Midwest
#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler
The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April. Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT. After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games. Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season. As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers. Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS). Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field. With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.
#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV
As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year. If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season. As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well. This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons. Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late. There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games. It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.
East
#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown
“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season. Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU. They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games. With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field. Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense. Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc. The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range. Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.
#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC
The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country. Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times. Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter. UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen. UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS. An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games. This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS. USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types. An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough. USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS. They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12. When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.
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